Nick Kurtz and the Rookie Crown: Does His Current Performance Make Him MLB’s Next Rookie King?
The 2025 Rookie of the Year race is heating up in a way Major League Baseball hasn’t seen in years. While every season brings a fresh crop of young stars, this year feels different. Instead of one runaway candidate, the league has witnessed a three-way collision of talent and narrative.
On one side stands Roman Anthony, Boston’s next great outfielder, wielding a bat that seems to find the gaps and fences with ease. On the other is Cade Horton, Chicago’s rookie pitcher who has defied baseball logic with an ERA that reads more like a typo than a stat line. And then, at the center of it all, is Nick Kurtz, the Oakland Athletics’ slugger who has not just played like a rookie standout but like a franchise cornerstone in the making.
This article takes a deep dive into whether Nick Kurtz truly deserves the crown — the title of MLB’s rookie “king.” We’ll explore the numbers, the narratives, the betting odds, and the unspoken intangibles shaping the Rookie of the Year race.
Roman Anthony: Boston’s Spark of Offensive Firepower
The Numbers Behind the Hype
Since July 18, Roman Anthony has put together a slash line of .306/.420/.492, a stat line that screams consistency, patience, and power. He’s added four home runs in that span, and more importantly, his ability to get on base has injected new energy into the Boston Red Sox lineup.
His performance is more than just raw numbers. Anthony has stepped into high-pressure moments and delivered, giving the Red Sox the kind of young, dynamic bat they desperately needed. He’s not a one-dimensional hitter — his approach reflects patience at the plate, discipline against breaking pitches, and the ability to punish mistakes.
The Impact Factor
Roman Anthony’s influence goes beyond the box score. For Boston, a team in transition, his emergence has provided hope and direction. He has become a critical piece of the offense, a presence opposing pitchers cannot ignore.

The question for Anthony is whether his late-season surge can carry enough weight to sway voters, given that the Rookie of the Year award often leans toward players with season-long dominance rather than a spectacular second-half push.
Cade Horton: The Pitcher Who Defied Gravity
ERA 0.49 — Unbelievable but True
On the pitching side, Cade Horton of the Chicago Cubs has turned the National League upside down. In the second half of the season, he’s been nearly untouchable: an ERA of 0.49. To put that into perspective, elite aces often struggle to keep their ERA under 3.00. Horton’s mark is historic, borderline superhuman, and places him at the forefront of the NL Rookie of the Year race.
Control, Command, and Composure
Beyond ERA, Horton’s ability to strand baserunners has been nothing short of elite. He has held 97.9% of runners on base, a stat that reflects his composure under pressure. With the bases loaded or runners in scoring position, Horton simply does not blink.
Chicago desperately needed a reliable frontline starter, and Horton has filled that role seamlessly, pitching with the poise of a seasoned veteran. His rise not only strengthens the Cubs’ present but also projects a promising future.
Nick Kurtz: Oakland’s Crown Jewel
Consistency Is King
While Anthony dazzles and Horton dominates, it is Nick Kurtz who continues to lead the Rookie of the Year discussion in the American League. What separates him is not just peak performance but sustained excellence across the entire season.
Kurtz has consistently dominated offensive categories among AL rookies, showing power at the plate, keen strike-zone awareness, and the ability to come through in clutch moments. Unlike Anthony’s midseason surge, Kurtz’s body of work stretches from April to August, giving him the kind of resume voters historically reward.
Backed by the Oddsmakers
Vegas isn’t ignoring him either. According to platforms like OddsShark, Kurtz remains the favorite for AL Rookie of the Year, with betting odds reflecting a belief in both his numbers and his narrative. When bettors and sportsbooks align, it often reflects a broader consensus: Nick Kurtz is the man to beat.
The Broader Picture: How Team Success Influences Rookie Votes
The Rookie of the Year award is not always a pure numbers game. Writers and voters often consider team impact, consciously or not.
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Roman Anthony has the advantage of playing in a high-profile market with the Red Sox, where every game is under a microscope.
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Cade Horton is fueling a resurgent Cubs team, making his pitching feats part of a bigger storyline.
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Nick Kurtz, meanwhile, faces the uphill battle of playing for the Oakland Athletics, a franchise often overshadowed by market size and rebuilding narratives.
This is where the debate heats up: Should the award go to the player with the best raw numbers, or the one whose performance meant the most in a winning context?
Breaking Down the Contenders Side by Side
| Candidate | Standout Stat | Narrative Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony | .306/.420/.492 slash line, 4 HR since July | Offensive spark for Boston, clutch late-season hitter |
| Cade Horton | 0.49 ERA in the second half, 97.9% LOB% | Dominant frontline pitcher, redefining rookie pitching |
| Nick Kurtz | Season-long dominance, AL-leading odds | Consistent bat, sportsbooks’ clear favorite |
This table illustrates the complexity of the race. Each candidate brings a different kind of dominance — Anthony with offense, Horton with pitching mastery, and Kurtz with all-around stability.
The Case for Nick Kurtz as “Rookie King”
A Full-Season Resume
Kurtz’s biggest advantage is longevity and consistency. While Anthony’s surge is undeniable and Horton’s numbers are breathtaking, voters may lean toward a rookie who has delivered from Opening Day through August without fading.
Market Bias and Overcoming It
Despite Oakland’s market challenges, Kurtz’s performance is forcing the baseball world to pay attention. The Athletics may not be playoff contenders, but Kurtz has become their face of hope, and in a year where rookies are rewriting the record books, his stability stands out.

Alignment with History
Historically, Rookie of the Year winners often emerge from the AL offensive powerhouse archetype — hitters who sustain strong seasons and impact multiple offensive categories. Kurtz fits that mold perfectly.
Conclusion: A Rookie Race for the Ages
The 2025 Rookie of the Year race is unlike anything in recent memory. Each candidate brings something unique:
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Roman Anthony has given Boston a reason to believe in its future.
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Cade Horton has pitched like a once-in-a-generation arm.
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Nick Kurtz has blended power, patience, and presence across an entire season, making him the clear frontrunner for the AL Rookie of the Year crown.
So, is Nick Kurtz worthy of being crowned the rookie king of MLB? The numbers, the odds, and the narratives suggest yes. But baseball has a way of writing unpredictable final chapters. As the last stretch of the season unfolds, one thing is certain: this rookie class has already carved its place in MLB history.


