Fan Reactions: Why This Was Aaron Judge’s Strangest Game Ever – And What It Means for the Wildest MVP Race in History
When fans called this Aaron Judge’s strangest game ever, they weren’t exaggerating. With the 2025 MLB season heading toward its climax, Judge and Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners are locked in what many analysts describe as “the weirdest MVP race of all time.” For years, MVP debates have revolved around traditional stats like home runs and RBIs. But in 2025, advanced metrics such as WAR (Wins Above Replacement) and WPA (Win Probability Added) are painting a far more complicated picture.
This article breaks down why Judge’s latest performance sparked so much confusion among fans, why the MVP race is tighter than ever, and how this unusual chapter might redefine how baseball awards are judged moving forward.
The Tightest MVP Race in Recent Memory
WAR and WPA Deadlock
By late August 2025, Judge and Raleigh were tied with a 7.3 WAR according to FanGraphs. WAR, a comprehensive metric combining offense, defense, and baserunning, is often used to measure overall value. But the intrigue deepens when considering WPA. Raleigh held a narrow edge with 3.91 WPA, compared to Judge’s 3.65.
This statistical deadlock means voters aren’t simply looking at raw numbers—they’re weighing intangibles like storylines, durability, and context.
Why Fans See Judge’s Game as “Weird”
Judge’s off night came at the worst possible time. With every plate appearance under the microscope, even a single hitless game or defensive misstep feels magnified. Fans labeled the game “weird” because it didn’t fit Judge’s usual profile of dominance—his swing timing was off, his fielding looked cautious, and the Yankees failed to capitalize on his presence.
Contrasting Paths Toward MVP Glory
Judge’s Offensive Superiority
Aaron Judge still dominates in advanced hitting metrics. His wOBA (.449) outshines Raleigh’s .391, signaling elite production per plate appearance. Judge’s power numbers remain elite, with 40 home runs and 92 RBIs—figures that place him among the league’s most dangerous hitters.
Raleigh’s Power Surge and RBI Lead
Meanwhile, Cal Raleigh leads the AL with 49 homers and 106 RBIs. Traditional voters—those who still prioritize power stats—are likely swayed by these gaudy totals. Add in the fact that Raleigh is doing this as a catcher, a position rarely associated with offensive explosions, and his MVP case becomes historic.
The Injury Factor – Judge’s Elbow and Its Ripple Effects
Missed Time and Durability Concerns
Judge’s elbow injury earlier in the season cost him valuable playing time. While he has still delivered MVP-level production, the missed games have given Raleigh a statistical advantage in counting stats. For voters, availability matters—and Judge’s health may weigh heavily.
Judge’s Return and Adaptation
Since returning, Judge has had moments of brilliance but also occasional “weird” games where his mechanics seemed off. Fans noticed he appeared tentative on certain swings, fueling speculation that the injury still lingers.
Defense and Baserunning – The Understated Edge
Raleigh’s Catcher Value
Defensively, Raleigh ranks in the top 10 among all catchers by Statcast metrics. He not only handles Seattle’s pitching staff but also provides measurable value in pitch framing and throwing out runners. This dual role as an offensive powerhouse and defensive leader strengthens his candidacy.
Running the Bases – Raleigh’s Advantage
On the basepaths, Raleigh also outpaces Judge with 14 stolen bases to Judge’s 8, along with superior baserunning runs added. While Judge is no liability, Raleigh’s well-rounded contributions make his case uniquely compelling.
The Power of Narrative – Media, Fans, and History
Judge’s Established Stardom
Judge has already won an MVP, shattered home run records, and cemented himself as one of the faces of baseball. His narrative centers on resilience—bouncing back from injury to power the Yankees’ playoff push.
Raleigh’s Underdog Story
By contrast, Raleigh represents freshness. A catcher leading the league in home runs while steering his team toward the postseason is something rarely seen in MLB history. Fans and media alike are drawn to the “history-in-the-making” storyline.
Fan Reactions to the “Weird Game”
On social media, Yankees fans expressed concern while Mariners fans saw it as a symbolic turning point—proof that Raleigh’s MVP campaign was gaining ground. Many neutrals simply enjoyed the drama, fueling debates across platforms.
Breaking Down the Numbers – Judge vs. Raleigh Side by Side
| Factor | Aaron Judge | Cal Raleigh |
|---|---|---|
| WAR (FanGraphs) | 7.3 | 7.3 |
| WPA | 3.65 | 3.91 |
| wOBA | .449 | .391 |
| ISO (Power) | .345 | .345 |
| HR / RBI | 40 HR / 92 RBI | 49 HR / 106 RBI |
| Defense | Solid OF, limited by injury | Top 9 catcher defensively |
| Baserunning | 8 SB | 14 SB |
| Narrative | Established superstar, comeback | Breakout, historic season |
This table illustrates why the MVP race feels unprecedentedly close. Each player’s strengths balance the other’s weaknesses.
The Evolution of the MVP Conversation
From Traditional Stats to Advanced Analytics
In past decades, home runs and RBIs often dictated MVP voting. Today, voters consider WAR, WPA, and defensive metrics just as heavily. This shift means players like Raleigh, whose contributions extend beyond the box score, are finally receiving recognition.
Why Judge’s Game Felt Symbolic
Judge’s “weird game” wasn’t just an off-night—it symbolized the broader MVP race. His struggles highlighted his vulnerabilities, while Raleigh’s continued rise underscored how fragile Judge’s lead might be.
What Comes Next – Final Month Predictions
If Judge Rediscovers His Rhythm
Should Judge rebound with a strong September, he could reclaim momentum. A few multi-homer games and clutch late-season performances might erase doubts about his elbow and remind voters why he’s still MLB’s premier slugger.
If Raleigh Stays Consistent
If Raleigh maintains his offensive pace while anchoring the Mariners’ playoff push, his story may simply be too compelling for voters to ignore. Catchers don’t often win MVP—but when they do, it’s unforgettable.
Conclusion: Why Fans Will Never Forget This MVP Race
Fans will likely remember Aaron Judge’s strangest game not for its immediate outcome but for what it represented: the turning point in the wildest MVP race in recent memory.
Judge brings power, history, and star power. Raleigh offers durability, defense, and the allure of something new. Both are worthy, yet only one will walk away with the 2025 AL MVP trophy.
What’s certain is this: whether you’re a Yankees fan, a Mariners believer, or just a lover of baseball history, you’re witnessing a season that will be debated for decades.
